STOPTHEWARNOW/IRAN
overview | nonproliferation | war threats | war scenarios
SEE ALSO
US UNDERMINES NON-PROLIFERATION REGIME | ACCUSATIONS AND WAR THREATS

OVERVIEW PRO-WAR POLICIES & ANTI-WAR VIEWS
Facts/History | US Pre-emptive Policy | US Vs. Iran | War Starts Mid-2005 | Oil Imperialism | Israel Fears Iran | Israeli Spies | Iranian Exiles | Iranian Hardliners | 2 Party/Media Support
Writings Against War | Public Opposed
NOTE: This Page Has Not Been Updated Much Since 2005 Because There Is So Much Iran News Now
FOR UP-to-DATE ARTICLES ON IRAN SITUATION SEE ANTIWAR.COM'S
IRAN NEWS PAGE

FACTS AND HISTORY
Iran Miscellaneous Facts 2004
Historical Timelines on Iran
Perspectives on 1980s Iran_Iraq War
Iranian distrust of America is 50 years in the making
One individual's thoughts on US 1953 overthrow of elected government and continued interference.

The US and Iran Timeline
Iran Next - Recent Timeline

US PRE-EMPTIVE POLICY AND THE "NEOCONSERVATIVES"
Neo-conservative's Project for The New American Century on expansionist Rebuilding America's Defenses (1997)
 
"...the process of transformation, even if it brings revolutionary change, is likely to be a long one, absent some catastrophic and catalyzing even – like a new Pearl Harbor." This became basis for the 2002 National Security  Strategy of the United States below.
Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm (1996) - manipulating the American government and people to protect Israel's expansionism. "Prime Minister Netanyahu can formulate the policies and stress themes he favors in language familiar to the Americans by tapping into themes of American administrations during the Cold War which apply well to Israel."
2002: The National Security Strategy of the United States
"We must be prepared to stop rogue states and their terrorist clients before they are able to threaten or use weapons of mass destruction against the United States and our allies and friends."
2005: Updates to The National Security Strategy of the United States (see PDFs)  Html Version
An End to Ambiguity: US Counter-Proliferation from Tel Aviv to Tehran
From the Iranian perspective, Israel has not only successfully developed its own arsenal of nuclear weapons under a policy of "strategic ambiguity," it has also shaped U.S. policy through American neoconservatives with ties to the Israeli Likud party.

Brooks: Israelization of America
The brutal tactics of the Israeli "Defense" Forces have been denounced for decades by human rights groups, the United Nations, and scores of foreign governments. Is this how we want our own troops to fight?

Bishara - The Israelization of American policy
For the past few months I have watched with bewilderment as America has adopted Israel's mistaken strategy in the Middle East. Will America take as long as Israel to realize that starting a war is nothing like finishing it, and that military occupation does not bring about peace or security?
Oct 2004: Sidelined Neocons Stoke Future Fires
Ehoing increasingly threatening noises from the government of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon about preventing Iran from developing a nuclear weapon, neocons are calling for Washington to undertake covert action, at the very least, to oust what some of them call the "terror masters" in Tehran as part of a more general "World War IV" against alleged Arab and Islamic extremism
.
William Kristol, Richard Perle, Paul Wolfowtiz, Elliot Abrams, Douglas Feith are some of leading self-identified neoconservatives in the administration and/or the public eye
Nov 2004: Neocon Agenda: Iran, China, Russia, Latin America
Influential neocon Frank Gaffney, the founder and president of the Center for Security Policy (CSP) has laid out  "a checklist of the work the world will demand of this president and his subordinates in a second term."  The list, which begins with the destruction of Fallujah in Iraq and ends with the development of "appropriate strategies" for dealing with threats posed by China, Russia and "the emergence of a number of aggressively anti-American regimes in Latin America," also calls for "regime change" in Iran and North Korea.

March 2005: Warmonger Bolton to UN: Neocons on the Rampage
He played a lead role in cajoling and threatening the U.N. to rescind the 'Zionism is Racism' resolution; for which he is owned.  He spearheaded the U.S. campaign to undermine the International Criminal Court.   He helped push Colin Powell to give the treacherously erroneous  testimony before the Security Council just before the U.S. invasion/occupation of Iraq...


PRE-EMPTIVE PLANS AGAINST IRAN
Oct 2004: The Basic Strategy for Syria and Iran - Counterpunch
Outlines Bush/neocon pre-emptive premises, procedures, strategies

Nov 2004: US, Israel & the Central Asian Pipeline (The Great Game)
Jan 2005: The Coming Wars by Seymour M. Hersh
George W. Bush’s reëlection was not his only victory last fall. The President and his national-security advisers have consolidated control over the military and intelligence communities’ strategic analyses and covert operations to a degree unmatched since the rise of the post-Second World War national-security state. Bush has an aggressive and ambitious agenda for using that control—against the mullahs in Iran and against targets in the ongoing war on terrorism—during his second term.
Jan 2005: Pentagon Comment on Hersh/New Yorker Allegations
Jan 2005: Democracy NOW: Seymour Hersh: U.S. Conducting Covert Operations in Iran
Feb 2005: Military rumblings on Iran (like those before Iraq War)
Hawkish rumblings eerily recall the months before the American invasion of Iraq when some of the same officials pressed hardest for military action, while the president remained publicly uncommitted. Given that experience, it would be foolhardy to dismiss the current rhetorical buildup.

Jan 2005: Rice Admits Iran War for Israel
It's really hard to find common ground with a government that thinks Israel should be extinguished. It's difficult to find common ground with a government that is supporting Hezbollah and terrorist organizations that are determined to undermine the Middle East peace that we seek.

Feb 2005: Bush Admits: 'America would back Israel attack on Iran'
"Clearly, if I was the leader of Israel and I'd listened to some of the statements by the Iranian ayatollahs that regarded the security of my country, I'd be concerned about Iran having a nuclear weapon as well. And in that Israel is our ally, and in that we've made a very strong commitment to support Israel, we will support Israel if her security is threatened."

Feb 2005: Capitol Hill Mulls 'Regime Change' in Iran
Feb 2005: Neocons seeking NEW Pearl Harbor - Like Iranian Retaliation?
In the past few days, events have revealed just how earnestly neocons seek a Pearl Harbor in the Middle East. Just a few days ago, Americans were surprised to learn that U.S. government military aircraft have been violating Iranian airspace for over a year.

Feb 2005: Blindly Backing Israel Against Iran
Of course, no one except the Likudniks believe that there is a nuclear crisis in Iran. Certainly Mohamed ElBaradei – Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency – doesn't believe it.
Feb 2005: Israel pushes U.S. on Iran nuke solution
Israel has been privately pressing Washington to solve the Iran nuclear problem in a hint that Tel Aviv may be left with no choice but to bomb Iranian nuclear facilities, defense officials say.

March 2005: Provoking Iran to War
Now, if you go around threatening to invade a nation-especially a nation where you already have a record of having overthrown one government and of having sent in an airborne assault force ­and especially if you have just invaded a another country, one that is a neighbor of the nation you are now threatening-shouldn't you expect that that nation will be preparing for your attack?
March 2005: US rules out Iran security pledge
The US has dismissed a call by the head of the UN's nuclear agency to offer Iran security assurances as a boost to talks over its nuclear programme. Iran is said to be seeking assurances of US and Israeli non-aggression.
8 Reasons Why iran War IS Coming  Will the United States attack Iran? Eight major arguments say no. Each one dissolves on inspection, says Dan Plesch.  Do not be in the least surprised if the United States attacks Iran.

PREDICTIONS ATTACK ON IRAN IN MID-2005 
Feb 2005: Bush Slips and Admits: 'America would back Israel attack on Iran'
"Clearly, if I was the leader of Israel and I'd listened to some of the statements by the Iranian ayatollahs that regarded the security of my country, I'd be concerned about Iran having a nuclear weapon as well. And in that Israel is our ally, and in that we've made a very strong commitment to support Israel, we will support Israel if her security is threatened." (Click for satirical view of Bush-Sharon relationship.)
Feb 2005: Scott Ritter Says Iran Attack in June
[Former weapons inspector Scott] Ritter said plans for a June attack on Iran have been submitted to President George W. Bush, and that the president has approved them.
Mar 2005: Green Light for Iran Attack - with Bunker Busters
London’s “Sunday Times” has reported top secret Israeli plans to attack nuclear research sites in Iran... the security cabinet gathered last month for a secret meeting at Prime Minister Ariel Sharon’s home at the Shikmim Ranch, near the southern town of Sderot, to discuss plans for a potential attack. At the meetings conclusion the cabinet gave initial authorization for the attack.
Click for enlarged graphic of Israeli weapons and strategy.

March 2005: Daniel Ellsberg on Israel Arresting Vanunu and Coming Iran War
For Israel to confirm openly Vanunu's revelations at this particular time - dramatically abandoning forty years of obfuscation - would attract unfavorable attention to the fact that such threats or attacks against Iran are aimed not at achieving a nuclear-weapons-free zone in the Middle East but at prolonging, indefinitely, Israel's monopoly of nuclear weapons in the region. That is an unstated aim for both the US and Israel, but a less than compelling justification for war.

March 2005: SCOTT RITTER: IRAN WAR COMING IN JUNE, continued
Late last year, in the aftermath of the 2004 Presidential election, I was contacted by someone close to the Bush administration about the situation in Iraq. The Bush administration was keen on achieving some semblance of stability in Iraq before June 2005, I was told... because that was when the Pentagon was told to be prepared to launch a massive aerial attack against Iran...To be clear, the source did not say that President Bush had approved plans to bomb Iran in June 2005, as has been widely reported.  The President had reviewed plans being prepared by the Pentagon to have the military capability in place by June 2005 for such an attack, if the President ordered.

April 2005: Rittter says Israel Dictates June US Attack on Iran - Oil/Euros also motivations 
The date comes from Israel which has variety of intelligence estimates saying the Iranian uranium ENRICHMENT program (not weapons production) should be ready to go in June so that Iran will be self-sufficient for nuclear power. There is NO evidence Iran's nuke weapons program exists but Israelis afraid that once they can do enriched uranium can easily go to making nuclear bombs.

April 2005: Sharon Visit to Crawford:Tries to Manipulate Bush on Iran (5 articles)
Sharon’s senior military adviser Brig. Gen. Yoav Galant gave Bush Israeli intelligence documents on Iran’s nuclear reactor. Bush was also given satellite photos of the plant, an Israeli official at the meeting said on condition of anonymity, but declined to give exact details on the information.  The purported Iranian threat was the central focus of a meeting Tuesday  between Sharon and Cheney. “Iran is very close to the point of no return,” The Israeli Yediot Ahronot on Wednesday quoted Sharon as telling Cheney. “Threats of international sanctions must be issued.” ...The Israeli official made no mention of any Israeli plans to attack the
Iranian reactors if negotiations failed..
Apr 2005: Israel Guns for Iran - Jude Wanniski The plan of the neoconservatives in the Bush administration, who work closely with Sharon, instead, aim at changing the terms of the NPT when the countries that are party to the treaty will gather in New York City in May for the 1970 treaty's Seventh Review Conference...How? By removing from its provisions the "inalienable" right of signatory nations to enrich uranium to the 4% potency required for power plants, but not the 90% required for nuclear weapons....The great danger in this neocon game plan is that when the members refuse to alter the NPT at its meeting in New York in May – as they surely will – the argument will be made that the US can no longer support the NPT and will abandon it as a mechanism for preventing non-proliferation.

OIL IMPERIALISM
Apr 2004: Oil, Geopolitics, and the Coming War with Iran  by Michael Klare
When talking about oil's importance in American strategic thinking about Iran, it is important to go beyond the obvious question of Iran's potential role in satisfying our country's future energy requirements. Because Iran occupies a strategic location on the north side of the Persian Gulf, it is in a position to threaten oil fields in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates, which together possess more than half of the world's known oil reserves. Iran also sits athwart the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway through which, daily, 40% of the world's oil exports pass. In addition, Iran is becoming a major supplier of oil and natural gas to China, India, and Japan, thereby giving Tehran additional clout in world affairs. It is these geopolitical dimensions of energy, as much as Iran's potential to export significant quantities of oil to the United States, that undoubtedly govern the administration's strategic calculations.
Nov 2004: China Pipeline Deal Rocks Middle East Boat
With an economy expanding at an amazing 9% yearly, and in fact with considerable and growing leverage over the Americans economically and financially that is not usually discussed, China is positioning itself for the future.  And Iran, seriously now threatened by the U.S.-Israeli alliance,  is working with China, as well as with Europe, to outflank the Americans and in the short-term to buy itself more crucial time to strengthen and to have at least a credible deterrent.

WHY ISRAEL REALLY FEARS IRAN
Why Israel Really Fears Iranian Nukes Part One/Dec-04 
Tehran might offer to get rid of its nukes if Israel gets rid of its 200-400 nuclear weapons.

Why Israel Really Fears Iranian Nukes, Part Two/Feb-05
Israel might have to give up stolen Arab lands.

Why Israel Really Fears Iranian Nukes, Part Three/March-05
Might make U.S. decide Israel isn't as important as protecting oil in the region.

Oct 2004: Kharrazi says Iran supports one state solution for Israel-Palestine
Nov 2004: IRAN: Rafsanjani proposes creation of a binational state
Iran and Palestine - complicated history
Oct 2004: American Jews Turning Against Iraq War - Fear Iran
"Most people spoke as Americans first, although many people saw it through the lens of Israel," Schwartzman said of discussions among her temple members. "The question of whether we're creating a more secure Middle East was important to them as it relates to Israel."


ISRAELI SPIES IN PENTAGON/ADMINISTRATION
Sept 2004: Israeli Spies in Pentagon Seek Iran Info (Several articles)
Lawrence Franklin, is reportedly under investigation for allegedly passing classified information about American policy on Iran to Israel through officials of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee.

Oct 2004: Franklin Rejects Spy Deal Over Spying On US-Iran Plans for Israel
Feb 2005: Rattling the Israeli saber - Iran, Spies and AIPAC
Pentagon advocates of the aggressive approach to Iran called on like-minded people at AIPAC to help them make their case in Washington -- pushing AIPAC into the middle of a fierce internecine battle within the administration.

March 2005: Is the Potential AIPAC/Neocon Scandal About to "Blow Up"? David Corn Includes quote from Washington Post columnist David Ignatius: "I'm told that more than a half-dozen officials in the Bush administration who are apparently suspected of leaking classified information to AIPAC have had to retain defense lawyers."
April 2005 FBI at crossroads in probe of pro-Israel lobby group AIPAC Larry Franklin goes back to work!
April 2005: 2 Senior AIPAC Employees Ousted - re: Iran Spying The exit of Rosen and Weissman marks a dramatic about-face for AIPAC, which in previous public statements has strongly defended the actions of all its employees as the FBI conducted its probe.

CHRISTIAN ZIONISTS' "ARMAGEDDON LOBBY"
Armageddon Lobby page - articles about Christian Zionists trying to "hurry up God" by supporting Israel's expansion attacks on Arabs and Muslims. See links to Christian Zionist Lobby sites.

Review of book The Faith of George Bush  The book, which depicts a President who prays each day and believes he is on a direct mission from God, will give ammunition to critics who claim Bush's administration is heavily influenced by extremist Christians.
See more at http://againstbombing.org/bushandgod.htm  and at http://bushandgod.com

IRANIAN EXILES - INCLUDING "TERRORISTS" - PROMOTE REGIME CHANGE
Nov 2004: NY Times report on Iran's Mojahedin
Nov 2004: MEK (Iranian Communist Terrorist Group) Timeline Shows neocon/pro-Iran war linkage
Dec 2004: A Cult Is Trying to Hijack Our Iran Policy
Dec 2004 Neocons and Iran terrorists
Mar 2005: Finding Iran's answer to Ahmed Chalabi in L.A.
Mar 2005: 2 Articles on Iranian Resistance/Terrorists
Apr 2005: Exiles: Iran Seeks to Obtain Nuclear Warheads
Apr 2005: Bush pick for U.N. ambassador makes smooth with Iran's MEK
Apr 2005: Former MEK members speak out

TWO PARTIES AND MEDIA SUPPORT FOR WAR
Sept 2004:Fanning the Hysteria About Iran: NPR Leads the Charge to War
The (August 2004) commentary titled "US Presses UN Agency on Iran Nuclear Program" was a textbook example of propaganda dressed up to look like unbiased reporting. All three interviewees were charter members of America's "far right" establishment; haling from the American Enterprise Institute, the Nixon Center and the Project for the New American Century.

Sept 2004: Dem KeyNote Obama: Go Bomba Iran?
U.S. Senate candidate Barack Obama suggested Friday that the United States one day might have to launch surgical missile strikes into Iran and Pakistan to keep extremists from getting control of nuclear bombs.
Oct 2004: Iran's nuclear ambitions absent from US presidential debate
Kerry appeared to have hardened his position on Iran since December when he proposed bilateral talks "to explore areas of mutual interest with Iran, just as I was prepared to normalize relations with Vietnam a decade ago."

Feb 2005: Democrats and Iran: Look Who Supports Bush's Next War
Even DNC chair hopeful Howard Dean, allegedly the liberal arm of the Democratic Party, concurs Bush has not been tough enough on Iran. The Forward quotes Dean as saying, "The United States has to ... take a much harder line on Iran and Saudi Arabia because they're funding terrorism."

Apr 2005: Pilger On Media Law of Silence Similarly, the Law of Silence applies to the likely American attack on Iran. Scott Ritter, the UN weapons inspector who in 1999 disclosed that Saddam Hussein had no weapons of mass destruction and was thereafter virtually blackballed, has recently revealed that, according to a Pentagon official, Iran will be attacked in June. Again, he has been ignored by most of the media.
Apr 2005:  "Iran: The Nuclear Threat"—Fox News Channel War Lies   Fox Lies: Why Iran was NOT Hiding Nuclear Material from IAEA The IAEA does not safeguard buildings. It safeguards nuclear materials. The point is that no nuclear materials were introduced to these sites at the time that they were "discovered". This is  what the IAEA says about nuclear safeguards:
http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Factsheets/English/sg_overview.html

 
IRANIAN HARDLINERS BENEFIT FROM U.S./ISRAELI THREATS
Oct 2004: Deterring the deterrents ... Israel's nukes serve to justify Iran's
Oct 2004: The Iraq war has slowed calls for reform in Iran.
Oct 2004: Divided Iran swings to Right
Oct 2004: Iranians unite over nuclear row
Nov 2004: Hundreds of Iranian students form human chain to back enrichment
Nov 2004: Desire for Nuclear Empowerment a Uniting Factor in Iran
Mar 2005: Nuclear spat boosts critics of US in Iran poll

CHALLENGES TO U.S. AGGRESSION FROM OTHER NATIONS
Nov 2004: Iran's New Alliance With China Could Cost U.S. Leverage
The relationship has grown out of China's soaring energy needs -- crude oil imports surged nearly 40 percent in the first eight months of this year, according to state media -- and Iran's growing appetite for consumer goods for a population that has doubled since the 1979 revolution, Iranian officials and analysts say.

Jan 2005: 'Vladimir Putin and the global realignment'
What bothers the [Bush] administration is Putin's determination to maintain control over Russia's vital resources, his growing resistance to US expansion in central Asia, and his development of high-tech nuclear weapons... We're entering a new period of global instability. The post-war system of alliances is crumbling and the centers of power are shifting like tectonic plates. America's "go-it-alone", preemptive strategy has put the dominoes in motion and everywhere nations are retrenching.
Feb 2005: Iran to aid Syria against threats
"We are ready to help Syria on all grounds to confront threats," Iranian Vice-President Mohammad Reza Aref said after meeting Syrian PM Naji al-Otari.

Feb 2005: Iran and Russia sign nuclear deal
Iran and Russia on Sunday signed a landmark nuclear fuel accord that paves the way for the firing up of the country's first atomic power station, a project the United States alleges is part of a cover for weapons development. Under the deal, which would cap an $800 million contract to build and bring the Bushehr plant on line, Russia will fuel the reactor on condition Iran sends back spent fuel, which could potentially be upgraded to weapons use.

March 2005: Resurgent Russia challenges US
Similar to closer relations with Syria and Iran, the newfound friendship between Moscow and Beijing has fostered Russia's sale of sophisticated military equipment to China. Interestingly, relations between Beijing  and Tehran have also warmed recently. It appears clear that the Moscow-Beijing-Tehran axis is designed to counter US foreign policy in Eurasia, the Middle East and Asia.

March 2005: India firm on gas-pipeline deal with Iran despite U.S. opposition
India won't be deterred by Washington's opposition to its plans to buy gas from Iran, Oil Minister Mani Shankar Aiyar said Thursday, a day after U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice voiced differences with New Delhi over the project.

March 2005: Pakistan not to allow use of its territory against Iran
April 2005:Iran and Pakistan plan to hold a joint naval exercise

AGAINST ATTACKING IRAN
Sept 2004: Noam Chomsky: Hegemony or Survival?  
"Bush planners know as well as others that the resort to force increases the threat of terror, and that their militaristic and aggressive posture and actions provoke reactions that increase the risk of catastrophe.  They do not desire these outcomes, but assign them low priority in comparison to the international and domestic agendas they make little attempt to conceal."
Oct 2004: Israel greater nuclear threat than Iran: Israeli whistleblower Vanunu
Nov 2004: James Fallows: Will Iran Be Next?
Dec 2004: 2 Gordon Prather Articles on Mis-interpreting Iran Nukes
Dec 2004: Get Real: The Case for Restraint With Iran - Rep. Jim Leach
Dec 2004: A Few Thoughts Before We 'Liberate' Iran on Lewrockwell.Com
Dec 2004: There are worse things than a nuclear Iran  International Herald Tribune
Dec 2004: Paul Craig Roberts: Dangerous Delusions About Iran
Feb 2005: Gordon Prather on Iran: Let the Israelis Do It?
Feb 2005: Next Stop, Tehran? Chris Toensing  - Good overview
Feb 2005:The Human Rights Case Against Attacking Iran - NY Times
Feb 2005: GushShalom (Israeli Peace group) on Coming Iran War
Feb 2005:Iran Nuclear Program Creates a Furor Likely to Be Futile - Stephen Zunes
Mar 2005: Attacking Iran: I Know It Sounds Crazy, But... Ray McGovern (ex-CIA)
Apr 2005: Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran explores how immoral the USA has become

AMERICAN PEOPLE OPPOSED - FOR NOW - SO IS MOST OF WORLD
Sept 2004: Iran War: Mobilization of public opinion continues
Oct 2004: [Unpopular] Draft May be Necessary for Iran War
Jan 2005: Survey: Americans oppose Iran invasion
A major new national opinion survey of 1,608 American voters released this week shows that only 42 percent would support the U.S. invasion of Iran to stop its nuclear program.
Apr 2005 Poll in Europe: Iran not a nuclear threat
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SATIRICAL VIEW OF BUSH SHARON RELATIONSHIP